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6:38 PM Renowned NYU finance prof. Aswath Damodaran assigns Facebook (FB -8.9%) a value of $29/share, a little below today's $31 closing price, based on a detailed valuation analysis. His assumptions: Facebook's annual revenue growth will average 40% over the next 5 years before slowing; its operating margin will fall from a sky-high 45.68% to 35%; and its cost of capital will be a relatively high 11.42% (to account for higher-than-normal risk). (Blodget's valuation) Comment!
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6:10 PM Think housing will improve? Buy truckers, KeyBanc's Todd Fowler suggests. “All the freight required to build a new home has a very positive impact on trucking activity," he says, noting each new residence requires 5-8 truckloads to transport supplies such as lumber, roofing materials and interior furnishings. Fowler likes KNX, WERN and CGI, plus retailers HD and LOW. Comment!
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4:34 PM Falling commodity prices, tightening processing margins and renewed fears of a European banking crisis have dragged down master limited partnerships, but Credit Suisse says fundamentals remain strong. The firm suggests investors overweight MLP portfolios with large-cap, diversified names such as Kinder Morgan (KMP), Enterprise Products (EPD) and Plains All American (PAA). 3 Comments
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2:38 PM China Mobile (CHA +1.8%) trades higher on an upgrade to Outperform from Credit Suisse, which sees strong 3G uptake in "Tier 2" Chinese cities leading to double-digit revenue growth for the country's carriers. CS notes 2/3 of China's net adds since April '11 have involved 3G, leading its penetration rate to grow to 15.6% of phones, and that 3G subs tend to sport higher ARPUs. Outperforms are reiterated for China Mobile (CHL) and China Unicom (CHU - previous). 1 Comment
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2:10 PM The Street is pricing Qualcomm (QCOM +1.2%) as if its business model is broken, says Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon. At a sub-$60 stock price, he thinks investors are pricing in a major decline in Qualcomm's royalty payments, either due to a lower rate or declining 3G/4G phone prices, and/or a drop in its chip margins. Rasgon, who has a $75 PT on Qualcomm, doesn't see either scenario as likely. (earlier) 1 Comment
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11:42 AM Goldman's Bill Shope is encouraged by the huge product refresh announced yesterday by EMC (EMC +0.7%). Shope sees the company's new VMAX systems allowing it to re-take share in the high-end storage market, and believes its OneFS system, a product of the Isilon acquisition, will put EMC on better footing in the network-attached storage (NAS) market relative to NetApp (NTAP). He also likes EMC's continued embrace of flash memory. (earlier) Comment!
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11:12 AM Shares of Hugoton Royalty Trust (HGT -22.9%) plunge as a Sir Perfluis analysis on Seeking Alpha says "purchasing HGT units at current prices is like buying 60 cents for a dollar... Quite literally, unless natural gas prices stage a rally, a current HGT unit-holder can expect to receive total cash flows of less than the current share price." 6 Comments
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10:56 AM Investors can grab Plains All American Pipeline (PAA +1%) and its 5.3% dividend yield even cheaper than director Gary Petersen did when he bought 5K shares on May 17 at $79.47 each, DividendChannel writes. A long-term dividend history chart strongly suggests PAA is likely to continue paying a comparably attractive dividend. Comment!
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10:22 AM The selloff in Chesapeake Energy (CHK +0.2%) creates a buying opportunity, Oppenheimer says while maintaining its Outperform rating and $28 price target. CHK is accelerating its liquids production growth and asset monetization, and the firm thinks its net asset value after pending asset sales is above its current share price.
3 Comments
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10:09 AM EnerNOC (ENOC +12%) shares surge after Needham raises its rating to Buy from Hold, believing the stock has bottomed and should become more attractive to long-term investors. The firm says ENOC isn't another Comverge (now private), "as the company has far more substantial scale, prior history of profitability, and healthier overall capitalization." Comment!
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